Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (126-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 8-19 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 39 | 15-27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 38 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Monte Morris | 32 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 14 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 40 | 11-21 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 22 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 40 | 8-15 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 37 | 11-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 29 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter