Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 13-28 | 4-12 | 6-6 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 20 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 13-16 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 30 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter