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2021-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 22.7% 77.3% - ✓
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 ✓ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% - ✓
Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +1 (135-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 40 12-20 0-2 5-8 12 17 3 1 29 - -
Bradley Beal * 38 14-24 3-6 11-14 4 3 1 0 42 - -
Raul Neto * 23 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 7 - -
Anthony Gill * 18 5-10 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Alex Len * 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Davis Bertans 27 4-10 2-6 3-4 0 1 0 0 13 - -
Ish Smith 22 0-6 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Robin Lopez 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 8 - -
Daniel Gafford 14 4-6 0-0 4-7 10 2 0 1 12 - -
Garrison Mathews 12 1-2 1-2 5-6 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Isaac Bonga 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Chandler Hutchison 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 31 10-20 4-8 5-7 5 6 0 1 29 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 8-15 0-2 7-8 9 8 0 2 23 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 4-7 1-1 2-3 8 1 0 2 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 20 6-8 5-7 2-3 3 4 1 0 19 - -
P.J. Tucker * 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 31 6-10 4-8 0-0 6 3 0 1 16 - -
Bryn Forbes 25 6-10 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 14 - -
Jeff Teague 22 4-6 1-2 2-3 2 4 1 0 11 - -
Bobby Portis 16 4-10 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 15 0-2 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter