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2021-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +12 (122-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 39 7-17 2-5 4-4 3 7 2 0 20 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 16-28 5-8 5-7 9 3 1 1 42 - -
Kemba Walker * 28 8-16 1-7 2-3 3 5 3 0 19 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Grant Williams * 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Daniel Theis 24 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Javonte Green 20 3-7 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 1 7 - -
Semi Ojeleye 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Jeff Teague 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 - -
Payton Pritchard 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 41 10-12 3-3 0-0 8 3 0 1 23 - -
Ben Simmons * 35 7-10 0-0 1-3 3 11 2 1 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 11-15 2-2 14-15 11 3 1 0 38 - -
Seth Curry * 27 6-10 3-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 15 - -
Danny Green * 24 2-7 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 1 5 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 2 9 - -
Shake Milton 18 2-7 0-2 2-2 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 17 2-9 2-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Howard 17 0-2 0-0 3-4 12 0 3 2 3 - -
Tyrese Maxey 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter