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2021-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 64.4% 35.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 17.7% 82.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 41 10-29 4-9 0-0 12 2 2 0 24 - -
Aaron Gordon * 37 6-10 4-7 1-2 9 9 0 2 17 - -
Cole Anthony * 35 3-7 1-1 2-2 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Evan Fournier * 35 8-14 4-8 6-12 4 9 0 0 26 - -
James Ennis III * 27 4-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Terrence Ross 32 4-9 1-5 3-4 4 2 2 0 12 - -
Khem Birch 27 1-6 0-1 3-4 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Dwayne Bacon 17 7-12 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 16 - -
Gary Clark 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 44 7-13 1-5 3-4 11 9 5 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 42 9-14 3-6 1-1 9 1 0 3 22 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 37 8-18 2-5 5-5 3 6 0 0 23 - -
Doug McDermott * 36 5-13 3-7 0-0 6 4 0 0 13 - -
Justin Holiday * 24 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 9 - -
T.J. McConnell 31 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 6 - -
Jeremy Lamb 28 7-14 1-5 7-8 7 1 1 0 22 - -
Aaron Holiday 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Edmond Sumner 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter