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2021-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -13 (110-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 8-12 3-6 6-6 6 9 1 1 25 - -
Coby White * 32 6-15 3-8 3-4 2 8 2 0 18 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 10-17 3-8 0-0 2 0 0 1 23 - -
Daniel Gafford * 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 2 7 - -
Patrick Williams * 16 2-7 0-2 0-1 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Garrett Temple 30 6-14 3-9 0-0 5 1 3 0 15 - -
Thaddeus Young 24 4-8 0-2 0-0 6 6 1 0 8 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 22 6-9 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 0 13 - -
Denzel Valentine 17 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 4-12 1-6 1-1 4 6 2 0 10 - -
Gordon Hayward * 37 12-20 2-6 8-10 6 4 2 0 34 - -
Devonte' Graham * 37 9-18 4-10 2-4 3 6 1 0 24 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 7-14 0-6 2-2 4 2 0 1 16 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 27 2-3 0-0 2-3 10 2 0 1 6 - -
Caleb Martin 19 3-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 0 6 - -
Miles Bridges 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 - -
LaMelo Ball 16 3-7 0-2 1-1 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Cody Zeller 10 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter