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2021-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% -
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (106-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 13-25 6-10 2-2 6 8 1 1 34 - -
Anthony Davis * 37 8-18 0-1 2-5 9 6 1 2 18 - -
Dennis Schroder * 32 2-10 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 7-10 7-10 2-2 3 0 0 1 23 - -
Marc Gasol * 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 26 4-7 0-0 4-4 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Kyle Kuzma 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 2 5 - -
Alex Caruso 17 1-2 1-1 2-2 4 1 3 1 5 - -
Markieff Morris 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Wesley Matthews 9 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 38 10-18 2-7 0-0 5 7 1 0 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 36 6-15 3-6 5-6 5 7 0 0 20 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 11-17 1-3 2-4 12 3 0 1 25 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 6-12 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 2 13 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 23 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 4 - -
D.J. Augustin 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 - -
Bobby Portis 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 1 4 - -
Bryn Forbes 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter