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2021-04-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 ✓ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -2 (128-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 36 11-17 1-3 10-12 5 13 1 0 33 - -
Dillon Brooks * 34 11-19 3-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 25 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 5-12 2-5 2-3 8 1 1 1 14 - -
Xavier Tillman * 22 6-8 0-1 0-1 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Grayson Allen * 22 1-6 0-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. 24 10-14 0-2 3-4 3 2 1 1 23 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 3-7 2-6 2-2 0 1 1 2 10 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Desmond Bane 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 - -
Justise Winslow 13 2-8 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 39 2-9 1-5 2-2 8 5 1 1 7 - -
CJ McCollum * 38 8-16 4-10 2-2 9 7 1 0 22 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 8-22 3-11 8-10 3 5 1 0 27 - -
Norman Powell * 36 5-12 1-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 29 11-15 1-1 3-4 17 5 1 1 26 - -
Carmelo Anthony 19 4-7 3-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Enes Kanter 18 6-11 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 13 1-3 1-1 3-4 1 1 0 1 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter