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2021-01-21

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 โœ“ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (121-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 29 9-16 1-6 3-3 6 3 2 0 22 - -
Keldon Johnson * 27 2-12 0-3 8-11 8 3 0 0 12 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 24 3-8 0-1 9-9 2 3 1 0 15 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 24 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 23 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Devin Vassell 26 2-8 1-4 3-4 3 2 2 1 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl 24 5-9 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Patty Mills 23 3-11 0-7 0-0 1 3 2 0 6 - -
Rudy Gay 18 5-9 0-1 1-1 9 3 0 0 11 - -
Trey Lyles 11 2-5 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Tre Jones 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 10-17 4-8 2-2 11 7 0 0 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 30 7-12 3-5 1-3 7 3 0 0 18 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 30 4-11 2-4 6-8 9 0 2 1 16 - -
Draymond Green * 25 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 9 - -
James Wiseman * 25 8-11 0-0 4-5 6 4 0 0 20 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 4 2 0 3 - -
Kent Bazemore 19 4-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Eric Paschall 16 3-8 0-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Damion Lee 13 1-5 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevon Looney 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 - -
Jordan Poole 8 3-6 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Mychal Mulder 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter