Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (121-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 29 | 9-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 23 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 18 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Tre Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 27 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter