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2021-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.1% 38.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% -
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% -
Points Off/Def 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 35 11-15 0-0 4-4 17 3 0 5 26 - -
Devin Booker * 34 10-18 1-4 3-4 5 2 0 1 24 - -
Mikal Bridges * 33 3-7 1-3 1-1 5 5 1 1 8 - -
Chris Paul * 30 4-9 1-3 4-4 4 4 1 1 13 - -
Cameron Johnson * 28 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 3 2 1 8 - -
Jae Crowder 26 4-13 2-10 1-2 5 1 2 0 11 - -
Cameron Payne 18 3-7 1-3 3-3 2 5 0 1 10 - -
Frank Kaminsky 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 - -
Abdel Nader 12 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae'Sean Tate * 37 3-5 1-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Eric Gordon * 34 9-20 3-7 1-2 2 2 0 0 22 - -
Christian Wood * 33 8-18 2-6 2-3 11 2 2 2 20 - -
Victor Oladipo * 31 7-22 1-5 7-7 5 6 3 1 22 - -
P.J. Tucker * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
David Nwaba 22 2-5 0-1 5-5 6 2 1 1 9 - -
Sterling Brown 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 14 1-4 0-2 1-2 6 3 0 1 3 - -
Ben McLemore 12 1-4 1-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Mason Jones 11 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 8 - -

* = starter