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2021-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -
Points Off/Def 30.4% 69.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (123-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 41 12-22 2-5 6-7 6 5 0 0 32 - -
Blake Griffin * 39 5-10 2-4 5-5 7 4 1 0 17 - -
Wayne Ellington * 33 5-11 4-9 2-3 2 3 0 0 16 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 5-11 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 10 - -
Delon Wright * 25 3-7 0-2 1-1 5 4 3 1 7 - -
Derrick Rose 28 7-15 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 14 - -
Josh Jackson 19 2-7 0-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Stewart 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Jahlil Okafor 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Saddiq Bey 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 44 11-26 3-5 13-19 4 10 2 1 38 - -
John Collins * 43 13-24 1-3 4-5 11 0 1 1 31 - -
Kevin Huerter * 39 6-12 3-4 2-2 5 4 2 0 17 - -
Solomon Hill * 39 2-8 2-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Clint Capela * 38 10-18 0-0 7-12 26 2 1 5 27 - -
Tony Snell 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 3 2 - -
Rajon Rondo 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter