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2021-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 34 10-19 1-6 4-7 4 4 1 0 25 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 10-24 3-10 3-6 5 3 0 0 26 - -
Kemba Walker * 21 6-15 5-9 2-2 2 6 0 0 19 - -
Tristan Thompson * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 - -
Grant Williams * 15 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Javonte Green 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 - -
Daniel Theis 27 10-11 1-1 2-2 10 1 1 0 23 - -
Semi Ojeleye 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Jeff Teague 17 2-7 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 5 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 39 9-17 1-5 3-3 3 5 2 0 22 - -
Ben Simmons * 33 2-5 0-0 7-10 8 8 2 0 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 12-19 1-5 17-21 10 2 2 1 42 - -
Danny Green * 28 4-8 4-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 12 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 29 4-10 2-2 6-6 1 1 1 0 16 - -
Matisse Thybulle 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 4 1 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 19 2-5 1-3 2-3 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Dwight Howard 15 3-7 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 1 7 - -

* = starter