Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -12 (112-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 12-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 31 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 26 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 40 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 4-9 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 37 | 9-20 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 26 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter