Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +18 (119-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 23 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| George Hill * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Hall | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Darius Miller | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 12-21 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 21 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter