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2021-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% - ✓
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - ✗
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (113-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 37 9-18 2-8 3-4 4 0 2 2 23 - -
Stephen Curry * 35 8-22 3-12 7-7 1 7 1 0 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 7-11 3-5 1-3 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Draymond Green * 30 3-6 1-2 0-0 8 9 1 0 7 - -
James Wiseman * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 4 - -
Kevon Looney 19 3-3 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Eric Paschall 19 8-11 0-1 3-4 4 3 1 0 19 - -
Damion Lee 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 4 - -
Kent Bazemore 12 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Poole 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 6-16 0-1 5-7 17 7 2 3 17 - -
LeBron James * 37 6-16 2-7 5-8 5 5 1 0 19 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 8-15 1-5 8-9 5 3 2 0 25 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 22 1-3 1-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Marc Gasol * 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 28 7-8 0-0 3-5 8 1 0 2 17 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 6-11 3-7 0-0 10 0 0 0 15 - -
Alex Caruso 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 7 - -
Wesley Matthews 14 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Markieff Morris 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter