Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +23 (116-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 0-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 27 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyrell Terry | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 27 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 22 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter