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Milwaukee Bucks 123
@
Brooklyn Nets 125
2021-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 ✗ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +2 (125-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 13-26 2-6 6-8 12 7 2 0 34 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 8-16 2-4 4-4 4 6 0 0 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 36 10-20 0-5 5-6 4 4 4 0 25 - -
Brook Lopez * 33 5-11 2-8 3-4 7 0 1 2 15 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
D.J. Augustin 19 0-7 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 3-5 3-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 4 - -
Bryn Forbes 10 2-7 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 13-25 3-10 5-6 6 12 0 1 34 - -
Jeff Green * 37 5-6 4-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 14 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 37 6-6 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 2 12 - -
Joe Harris * 37 7-12 5-7 1-2 6 1 0 0 20 - -
Kevin Durant * 35 10-21 2-4 8-9 9 6 0 2 30 - -
Bruce Brown 21 3-6 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 0 8 - -
Landry Shamet 11 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Reggie Perry 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter