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2021-01-18

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -21 (104-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 6-9 0-0 8-8 6 11 2 0 20 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 4-9 1-3 0-0 9 11 0 1 9 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 27 2-7 1-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Keldon Johnson * 24 3-6 1-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 10 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 24 10-17 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 22 - -
Devin Vassell 26 2-7 2-5 0-0 7 4 2 1 6 - -
Patty Mills 23 8-11 5-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 21 - -
Rudy Gay 23 8-17 5-8 0-0 7 1 1 0 21 - -
Jakob Poeltl 21 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 3 11 - -
Tre Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Lyles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 35 10-23 3-10 12-12 3 6 1 1 35 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 29 2-4 0-2 1-3 5 1 2 3 5 - -
Robert Covington * 28 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 1 3 0 9 - -
Enes Kanter * 26 4-8 0-0 1-1 8 5 0 0 9 - -
Rodney Hood * 25 9-14 2-6 1-1 2 2 1 0 21 - -
Carmelo Anthony 26 6-13 2-3 0-0 3 2 2 1 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 1-9 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Anfernee Simons 15 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 1 6 - -
Nassir Little 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -
Keljin Blevins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter