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2021-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +7 (91-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 36 10-16 2-5 2-2 14 0 0 2 24 - -
Aaron Gordon * 35 6-18 2-7 4-4 17 9 0 2 18 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 27 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Cole Anthony * 27 2-12 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 1 6 - -
James Ennis III * 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 2 5 - -
Terrence Ross 33 5-16 4-8 5-6 3 3 0 1 19 - -
Khem Birch 24 1-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 2 0 5 - -
Gary Clark 18 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Jordan Bone 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 39 5-19 2-6 9-13 17 1 0 0 21 - -
RJ Barrett * 38 9-19 0-3 4-4 10 4 0 1 22 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 2-5 0-0 2-6 10 0 1 1 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 33 6-11 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 12 - -
Reggie Bullock * 30 4-11 2-8 3-3 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Austin Rivers 17 0-4 0-1 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Immanuel Quickley 14 4-10 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Nerlens Noel 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 9 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Obi Toppin 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter