Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 37 | 7-20 | 0-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 34 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 29 | 9-13 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Miye Oni | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 42 | 11-27 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 39 | 14-23 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 24 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter