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2021-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.1 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.5% 64.5% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -16 (101-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 32 10-19 2-7 7-8 10 3 0 0 29 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 1-8 0-5 8-8 0 10 3 0 10 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 3-7 1-1 5-8 7 1 5 1 12 - -
Coby White * 25 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 2-5 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Garrett Temple 28 9-15 2-4 1-2 3 3 2 1 21 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 23 7-10 0-1 0-1 9 2 1 0 14 - -
Thaddeus Young 19 7-10 0-1 1-2 3 3 2 2 15 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 16 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 5 0 0 4 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 7 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 37 13-30 6-11 4-6 16 15 2 0 36 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 9-19 0-7 2-2 8 0 0 2 20 - -
Josh Green * 32 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Wes Iwundu * 30 4-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 27 5-8 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Trey Burke 28 2-7 0-2 1-3 4 1 1 0 5 - -
James Johnson 20 4-6 1-2 1-3 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Tyrell Terry 15 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 4 - -
Boban Marjanovic 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Nate Hinton 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Bey 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter