🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-01-17

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (35.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -30 (75-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 31 7-14 2-5 4-5 12 4 3 0 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 29 5-11 2-4 7-8 11 3 2 0 19 - -
Reggie Bullock * 28 4-9 3-8 0-0 7 0 1 0 11 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 8 - -
Elfrid Payton * 23 3-9 0-1 3-3 4 3 1 1 9 - -
Nerlens Noel 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 2 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 7-12 2-4 1-1 0 8 1 1 17 - -
Austin Rivers 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 16 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 12 - -
Kevin Knox II 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Theo Pinson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 9-20 3-9 4-5 6 3 1 0 25 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 4-15 0-7 2-5 2 2 2 0 10 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 3 - -
Grant Williams * 24 1-5 0-4 1-4 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Kemba Walker * 19 3-13 1-8 2-3 3 4 3 0 9 - -
Semi Ojeleye 23 0-6 0-6 4-4 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Daniel Theis 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 7 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 - -
Javonte Green 17 2-3 0-1 4-6 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Jeff Teague 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tremont Waters 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter