🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 7-23 1-9 11-12 7 11 0 0 26 - -
Clint Capela * 36 11-16 0-0 3-5 15 0 1 4 25 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 3-9 1-5 8-9 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 35 5-10 1-4 2-2 6 4 1 0 13 - -
John Collins * 30 4-10 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 2 8 - -
Solomon Hill 25 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Brandon Goodwin 14 4-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 9 - -
Tony Snell 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Rajon Rondo 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 42 10-23 4-12 12-12 7 7 1 0 36 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 34 5-12 0-4 0-0 9 0 2 0 10 - -
Enes Kanter * 28 5-9 0-0 2-2 15 3 2 5 12 - -
Robert Covington * 27 1-13 1-7 0-0 10 3 1 1 3 - -
CJ McCollum * 18 6-11 4-7 0-0 0 1 0 1 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony 28 4-11 1-3 2-4 1 1 0 1 11 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 7-14 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Rodney Hood 13 1-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Harry Giles III 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter