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2021-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -11 (111-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 43 9-13 1-2 3-3 13 10 4 1 22 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 34 8-16 4-6 5-7 5 4 1 0 25 - -
Justin Holiday * 31 3-12 2-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 10 - -
Myles Turner * 29 7-8 2-2 0-0 8 2 1 4 16 - -
Caris LeVert * 26 5-14 0-4 3-4 7 2 0 0 13 - -
Doug McDermott 26 9-13 2-4 2-3 4 2 0 1 22 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Edmond Sumner 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 9-20 1-6 1-2 4 7 0 1 20 - -
Chris Paul * 34 2-10 1-4 3-4 4 10 4 0 8 - -
Mikal Bridges * 31 6-12 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 14 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 7-10 0-0 0-2 12 1 1 2 14 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 - -
Dario Saric 26 6-9 3-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 17 - -
Abdel Nader 20 4-8 1-3 5-5 1 1 2 0 14 - -
Jae Crowder 17 1-8 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Cameron Payne 15 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 9 - -
E'Twaun Moore 9 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Jevon Carter 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter