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2021-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (106-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 36 3-9 0-2 5-7 16 9 0 1 11 - -
Danny Green * 35 3-7 1-4 1-1 3 3 0 3 8 - -
Dwight Howard * 33 3-8 0-1 2-8 18 3 0 3 8 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 7-17 0-2 7-7 3 2 1 2 21 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 24 5-13 0-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Shake Milton 32 10-18 2-5 6-7 3 4 2 0 28 - -
Matisse Thybulle 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 2 8 - -
Isaiah Joe 15 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Tony Bradley 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 30 7-14 0-3 3-4 0 6 1 0 17 - -
Kyle Anderson * 30 5-8 1-4 0-0 6 5 2 2 11 - -
Brandon Clarke * 29 4-14 0-2 3-3 11 2 2 0 11 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 5-15 1-3 0-1 3 1 2 0 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 20 3-6 0-1 3-6 7 1 0 1 9 - -
Xavier Tillman 27 7-13 1-5 0-0 4 2 4 0 15 - -
Grayson Allen 26 3-9 3-5 3-4 7 4 0 0 12 - -
Desmond Bane 18 4-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Tyus Jones 17 3-8 0-2 0-0 1 4 3 0 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter