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2021-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 38 7-13 1-3 10-10 5 3 1 0 25 - -
Terry Rozier * 38 9-19 6-12 0-0 9 2 1 0 24 - -
Devonte' Graham * 38 7-15 4-9 2-4 5 7 1 0 20 - -
P.J. Washington * 33 6-13 1-3 1-2 12 5 0 2 14 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 33 3-7 0-0 0-1 11 1 2 1 6 - -
Miles Bridges 25 2-7 1-3 5-6 1 4 1 1 10 - -
LaMelo Ball 22 4-11 2-6 1-2 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Caleb Martin 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 - -
Malik Monk 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 36 4-16 3-10 4-4 7 10 0 1 15 - -
Kyle Lowry * 36 6-13 3-7 4-4 6 6 0 1 19 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 7-13 4-8 0-0 5 1 4 0 18 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 4-14 0-5 1-2 5 4 0 2 9 - -
Aron Baynes * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 30 5-7 2-4 8-10 9 1 0 2 20 - -
Norman Powell 28 6-12 6-9 6-6 3 2 0 1 24 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter