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Houston Rockets 91
@
San Antonio Spurs 103
2021-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% - ✓
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 ✓ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (103-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 40 9-20 1-3 5-8 18 3 0 3 24 - -
Ben McLemore * 38 7-14 4-7 3-4 3 1 2 0 21 - -
P.J. Tucker * 36 1-9 0-6 2-2 9 2 1 2 4 - -
Mason Jones * 35 8-12 6-8 2-4 6 4 0 0 24 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 25 2-11 0-1 3-5 5 5 0 3 7 - -
David Nwaba 25 2-8 1-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 7 - -
Rodions Kurucs 21 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 16 1-5 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 2 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 9-25 0-1 6-6 7 4 2 1 24 - -
Keldon Johnson * 31 4-10 1-3 2-3 7 2 0 2 11 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 8-18 2-5 0-1 10 3 3 0 18 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 28 2-8 0-4 4-5 3 0 0 1 8 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 17 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Jakob Poeltl 29 6-7 0-0 1-1 11 3 1 3 13 - -
Patty Mills 22 4-12 2-6 1-2 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Rudy Gay 22 2-6 0-2 1-2 8 2 2 0 5 - -
Devin Vassell 19 3-7 0-3 3-3 7 0 2 0 9 - -

* = starter