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2021-01-16

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +17 (112-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 34 9-19 0-0 3-6 12 4 0 1 21 - -
Brandon Ingram * 34 9-15 2-4 0-1 3 5 2 1 20 - -
Steven Adams * 33 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 - -
Josh Hart * 28 3-6 1-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 20 5-8 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
JJ Redick 25 4-11 3-10 1-1 6 0 0 0 12 - -
Eric Bledsoe 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 7 - -
Nicolo Melli 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 10 2-8 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 - -
Jaxson Hayes 7 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Naji Marshall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 33 5-16 0-2 7-10 6 5 3 3 17 - -
LeBron James * 30 6-11 2-6 7-7 8 11 1 0 21 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 4-14 1-7 3-4 5 4 3 0 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 6-11 4-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 16 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma 22 3-10 3-4 2-3 13 1 1 0 11 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 8-10 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 0 16 - -
Alex Caruso 17 3-4 3-3 0-0 3 4 1 1 9 - -
Markieff Morris 16 2-7 1-5 0-1 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Wesley Matthews 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter