🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% -
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +22 (120-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Wiseman * 34 5-14 0-2 1-2 11 2 0 1 11 11 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 32 3-5 0-2 3-4 6 2 2 1 9 15 -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 6-11 1-2 3-3 2 3 2 0 16 12 -
Nico Mannion * 31 3-10 3-5 0-0 4 6 1 0 9 10 -
Damion Lee * 23 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 7 8 -
Jordan Poole 26 10-16 5-10 1-1 3 1 1 1 26 16 -
Brad Wanamaker 16 3-7 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 7 5 -
Eric Paschall 15 2-9 0-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 6 1 -
Kevon Looney 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 6 -
Kent Bazemore 11 1-5 1-3 0-2 1 1 1 0 3 1 -
Mychal Mulder 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 29 6-20 1-5 3-4 5 6 1 0 16 8 -
Mikal Bridges * 27 3-7 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 8 6 -
Jae Crowder * 23 5-8 4-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 14 13 -
Deandre Ayton * 22 5-10 0-1 1-2 10 2 0 1 11 14 -
Chris Paul * 21 3-6 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 10 11 -
Cameron Payne 26 7-11 2-3 1-1 5 10 3 1 17 25 -
Abdel Nader 24 6-12 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 1 14 12 -
Frank Kaminsky 24 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 8 14 -
Dario Saric 17 6-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 13 10 -
Jevon Carter 12 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 7 3 -
E'Twaun Moore 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jalen Smith 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter