Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (135-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 37 | 14-25 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 30 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 30 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 17-22 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 24 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 25 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 24 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter