Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +3 (112-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 12-24 | 1-7 | 3-7 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 27 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyrell Terry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 37 | 8-20 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 14-21 | 2-5 | 1-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter