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2021-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +27 (124-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 28 5-12 3-5 4-8 2 3 0 0 17 - -
Cole Anthony * 27 7-18 1-6 0-1 6 3 0 0 15 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 25 6-13 1-4 2-2 6 4 2 0 15 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 25 5-14 0-1 5-7 8 1 0 0 15 - -
James Ennis III * 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Khem Birch 32 5-8 0-1 2-2 12 2 1 0 12 - -
Gary Clark 26 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 1 3 - -
Jordan Bone 26 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Terrence Ross 25 3-11 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Karim Mane 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 27 5-13 4-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 14 - -
Jaylen Brown * 25 6-12 2-5 7-7 2 8 1 0 21 - -
Grant Williams * 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 4 - -
Jeff Teague * 20 5-10 2-4 5-5 1 2 2 0 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 6-13 4-8 0-0 4 3 0 1 16 - -
Daniel Theis 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 8 - -
Semi Ojeleye 20 6-10 3-6 3-4 6 1 0 0 18 - -
Javonte Green 20 4-6 0-2 2-3 2 1 2 0 10 - -
Aaron Nesmith 18 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 1 5 - -
Tremont Waters 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 - -
Tacko Fall 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter