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2021-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (24.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% -
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -24 (87-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 38 10-18 0-2 3-4 15 5 2 0 23 - -
Myles Turner * 37 4-14 0-5 3-4 10 0 1 4 11 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 34 10-18 3-6 2-2 5 7 3 0 25 - -
Justin Holiday * 25 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 11 - -
Edmond Sumner * 19 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 7 - -
Doug McDermott 25 6-14 1-6 3-3 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Aaron Holiday 21 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 8 3 0 4 - -
JaKarr Sampson 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Cassius Stanley 2 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 35 7-16 2-5 6-6 6 4 1 0 22 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 8-18 4-10 2-2 3 4 1 0 22 - -
Robert Covington * 26 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 2 1 3 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 21 4-4 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 3 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 20 2-8 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 24 3-9 1-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 21 4-11 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 10 - -
Enes Kanter 15 1-4 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 0 4 - -
Harry Giles III 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 - -
Rodney Hood 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anfernee Simons 9 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter