Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 14-23 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 30 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 27 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 6-18 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 28 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter