Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Brown * | 36 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 34 | 10-18 | 5-7 | 2-6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 28 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| David Nwaba | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 18 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Mason Jones | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 12-16 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 25 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
* = starter