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2021-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (111-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 37 5-15 5-12 0-0 4 4 1 0 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 37 10-16 2-4 0-0 3 5 2 1 22 - -
P.J. Washington * 33 7-14 1-3 5-6 11 1 1 2 20 - -
Caleb Martin * 24 1-7 0-3 3-4 6 4 3 0 5 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 24 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 10 - -
Miles Bridges 28 5-7 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 12 - -
LaMelo Ball 26 6-14 2-5 0-0 6 11 3 1 14 - -
Malik Monk 22 3-6 3-5 1-2 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Cody Martin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 6-15 2-6 1-1 7 4 3 1 15 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 6-20 5-15 0-0 1 8 0 0 17 - -
Kyle Lowry * 34 6-10 4-5 0-0 6 12 2 0 16 - -
OG Anunoby * 33 4-9 2-4 3-4 5 2 3 1 13 - -
Aron Baynes * 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 29 8-12 2-4 7-8 10 2 1 2 25 - -
Stanley Johnson 20 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 6 - -
Norman Powell 19 5-13 1-8 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Yuta Watanabe 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter