Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (126-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 42 | 10-23 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 41 | 11-23 | 6-15 | 12-12 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 20 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 9-21 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 34 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 31 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter