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2021-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 37 8-18 4-8 2-2 4 6 4 0 22 - -
Clint Capela * 34 8-12 0-0 0-0 16 0 0 1 16 - -
Trae Young * 32 5-16 1-4 8-9 2 13 3 0 19 - -
Tony Snell * 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
John Collins * 14 4-6 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Huerter 26 4-10 3-6 1-2 1 3 1 0 12 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 4-10 2-7 3-3 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Solomon Hill 18 3-4 2-3 0-2 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Brandon Goodwin 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Nathan Knight 5 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 32 8-19 2-7 3-3 3 3 0 0 21 - -
Chris Paul * 30 5-10 0-2 2-2 3 8 2 0 12 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 10 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 5-9 5-8 4-4 4 3 1 1 19 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 5-8 0-0 3-5 14 2 1 0 13 - -
Cameron Johnson 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Torrey Craig 18 6-11 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 12 - -
Dario Saric 17 7-8 3-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 20 - -
Cameron Payne 17 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 - -
Langston Galloway 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter