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2021-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (112-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 36 9-20 3-6 1-2 13 3 0 0 22 - -
Evan Fournier * 35 6-19 2-8 2-2 5 2 2 0 16 - -
Aaron Gordon * 32 3-13 2-7 4-6 6 5 0 0 12 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 27 2-6 0-2 1-2 5 2 2 1 5 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 22 3-5 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 2 7 - -
James Ennis III 20 5-6 3-4 5-7 5 1 0 0 18 - -
Chuma Okeke 20 2-5 0-3 1-1 2 2 1 1 5 - -
Dwayne Bacon 18 1-7 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Khem Birch 11 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Chasson Randle 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Karim Mane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gary Clark 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 32 3-7 2-5 3-3 3 8 0 1 11 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 12-24 10-18 0-0 4 3 1 0 34 - -
Daniel Theis * 31 6-11 1-4 0-0 11 3 1 1 13 - -
Kemba Walker * 31 5-11 2-7 2-2 5 4 2 0 14 - -
Jayson Tatum * 28 7-13 5-8 4-4 4 4 0 0 23 - -
Semi Ojeleye 20 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Tacko Fall 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter