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2021-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% - ✓
Margin 62.4% 37.6% -2.8 ✓ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% - ✓
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 64.3% 35.7% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (101-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 36 8-13 3-5 2-3 6 5 3 1 21 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 7-15 2-5 6-10 10 10 2 3 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 31 5-12 1-5 1-1 2 6 1 1 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 3-8 3-7 0-0 11 1 0 4 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 25 3-9 1-5 0-0 10 3 0 0 7 - -
Bobby Portis 22 5-9 1-4 0-0 5 0 2 0 11 - -
D.J. Augustin 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Bryn Forbes 19 5-8 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 13 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 35 7-19 3-6 5-6 4 1 2 1 22 - -
Blake Griffin * 32 4-9 3-6 1-2 7 6 1 0 12 - -
Delon Wright * 32 1-10 1-3 0-0 8 7 1 1 3 - -
Mason Plumlee * 21 3-11 0-1 1-2 13 5 2 0 7 - -
Wayne Ellington * 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Josh Jackson 24 4-8 2-3 1-2 1 3 1 0 11 - -
Saddiq Bey 19 3-8 2-6 2-3 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 18 6-9 2-4 4-5 1 0 0 0 18 - -
Isaiah Stewart 17 4-7 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 1 9 - -
Saben Lee 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Jahlil Okafor 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Frank Jackson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter