Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -11 (93-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 14-25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 21 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 32 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyrell Terry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 36 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 32 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 26 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 14 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 11 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter