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2021-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (95-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 41 7-11 3-5 5-8 12 0 2 5 22 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 7-15 0-2 4-5 14 6 0 1 18 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 32 5-18 2-6 1-2 2 8 2 1 13 - -
Edmond Sumner * 30 6-11 0-3 0-1 4 0 1 0 12 - -
Justin Holiday * 29 2-4 1-3 3-5 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 28 6-16 2-5 2-2 2 12 2 0 16 - -
Doug McDermott 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
JaKarr Sampson 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 6 - -
Kelan Martin 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Cassius Stanley 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 7-17 3-8 3-5 4 3 2 0 20 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 7-17 4-9 4-7 7 3 0 5 22 - -
Draymond Green * 31 2-7 0-2 3-3 6 10 1 0 7 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 29 6-11 3-7 2-2 5 2 1 1 17 - -
James Wiseman * 26 4-11 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 2 8 - -
Damion Lee 26 5-11 2-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Kent Bazemore 19 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 3 2 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 12 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter