Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (102-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 25 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| George Hill * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Darius Miller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter