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2021-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% -
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -17 (100-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 29 10-20 4-9 2-4 8 5 0 1 26 - -
Anthony Davis * 28 7-8 1-1 4-4 10 2 0 5 19 - -
Dennis Schroder * 25 6-9 2-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Marc Gasol * 21 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 5 2 2 5 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 20 5-9 4-5 0-0 3 1 3 0 14 - -
Kyle Kuzma 27 4-6 1-2 2-3 11 1 0 0 11 - -
Montrezl Harrell 26 4-8 0-0 6-8 4 1 0 2 14 - -
Alex Caruso 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 6 3 3 1 0 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 1-8 0-4 2-4 2 4 1 0 4 - -
Markieff Morris 14 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 7 - -
Quinn Cook 7 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 30 5-16 1-6 5-5 7 6 1 0 16 - -
John Wall * 29 4-11 0-1 2-3 0 5 2 1 10 - -
Christian Wood * 25 8-18 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 18 - -
P.J. Tucker * 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 - -
David Nwaba * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 25 4-9 0-2 1-1 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Eric Gordon 20 5-10 3-8 0-0 0 2 1 1 13 - -
Sterling Brown 17 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 4 0 2 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 17 5-9 2-4 1-1 10 3 1 0 13 - -
Ben McLemore 16 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Mason Jones 12 1-4 1-3 2-4 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Caboclo 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter