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2021-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 69.6% 30.4% -4.6 (26.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +22 (121-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 3-15 0-7 3-4 6 3 2 0 9 - -
Evan Fournier * 36 7-11 3-4 0-0 6 3 1 1 17 - -
Kemba Walker * 35 10-22 6-13 7-8 4 3 1 1 33 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 2-7 0-4 0-1 8 5 1 0 4 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 2 8 - -
Aaron Nesmith 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Grant Williams 12 2-5 1-4 4-4 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Jabari Parker 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Tacko Fall 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Romeo Langford 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Tremont Waters 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 33 9-16 7-12 0-0 7 5 1 1 25 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 7-16 2-5 2-2 14 10 2 1 18 - -
Zach LaVine * 32 10-24 3-9 2-2 5 2 2 0 25 - -
Daniel Theis * 28 3-9 1-3 2-2 8 0 1 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 7 - -
Garrett Temple 28 1-5 1-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 17 2-6 0-0 5-5 3 1 1 1 9 - -
Lauri Markkanen 14 1-5 1-3 5-5 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 1 4 - -
Javonte Green 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Devon Dotson 1 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter