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2021-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +6 (122-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 37 8-14 6-8 0-0 2 1 3 1 22 - -
Nikola Jokic * 34 8-17 1-4 6-6 8 11 7 1 23 - -
Jamal Murray * 34 9-20 2-5 0-2 0 4 1 0 20 - -
Paul Millsap * 21 3-3 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 10 - -
Bol Bol * 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
PJ Dozier 27 2-9 0-3 0-1 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Monte Morris 23 6-7 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 14 - -
JaMychal Green 22 3-7 2-5 1-2 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Facundo Campazzo 11 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 11 1-3 0-0 1-3 4 3 0 2 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 35 12-18 4-7 6-7 9 13 0 0 34 - -
Jarrett Allen * 35 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 3 1 2 6 - -
Joe Harris * 30 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 4 3 0 15 - -
Bruce Brown * 25 8-11 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 3 16 - -
Jeff Green * 24 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Caris LeVert 25 8-15 2-5 2-3 5 6 0 0 20 - -
Taurean Prince 22 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 22 3-6 3-5 2-4 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Landry Shamet 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter