Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (127-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 12-21 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 37 | 8-20 | 2-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 37 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 29 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 28 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter