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2021-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +1 (112-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 36 4-13 2-7 0-0 0 6 1 0 10 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 9-17 0-2 4-4 13 10 1 0 22 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 6-9 4-6 2-2 4 3 1 1 18 - -
Kyle Lowry * 35 5-17 3-12 5-5 9 2 0 0 18 - -
Alex Len * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -
Chris Boucher 32 7-12 5-8 1-1 8 1 0 3 20 - -
Stanley Johnson 23 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 7 - -
Norman Powell 20 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Terence Davis 9 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 8-16 3-6 4-4 7 5 0 1 23 - -
CJ McCollum * 38 10-19 5-11 5-6 6 5 1 0 30 - -
Robert Covington * 33 2-9 1-8 2-2 8 2 2 0 7 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 19 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 35 6-14 4-9 4-4 5 3 2 2 20 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 29 2-7 1-5 3-4 2 1 0 1 8 - -
Enes Kanter 15 7-8 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Rodney Hood 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter