Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (125-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Johnson * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 21 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 21 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marcos Louzada Silva | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Nunnally | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 12-24 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 30 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 10-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 21 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 14 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter